Main pick
Back PSG to win with moderate risk, with 2-1 as the projected score UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal F.C.
Prediction
Based on recent results and the available head-to-head data, Paris Saint-Germain have a slight edge after beating Arsenal in the last two meetings in this competition. However, Arsenal also arrive in strong recent form, so this should be judged conservatively, with some data still limited, such as confirmed lineups.
AI Prediction
Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 28%
home
Predicted Score
Paris Saint-Germain FC 2-1 Arsenal F.C.
Match Analysis
PSG hold a season record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses from 20 matches, compared with Arsenal’s 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses from 20, so the overall level is very close. Across the last 10 matches, PSG are 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while Arsenal are also 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. In the most relevant head-to-head sample, PSG beat Arsenal 1-0 and 2-1 in the last two UEFA Champions League meetings, which gives the home side only a small edge. The current 1X2 prices also point to a tight match, with PSG rated only slightly stronger. As confirmed lineups and fully verified team-news data are not available here, the view should remain conservative.
Team Stats
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Stat | Arsenal F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Home team | Arsenal F.C. |
| UEFA Champions League | Competition | UEFA Champions League |
| - | Ranking | - |
| 14W-3D-3L | Season record | 13W-3D-4L |
| -0.25 | Handicap | -0.25 |
Head-to-Head Records
08/05/25 W UEFA CL
30/04/25 W UEFA CL
02/10/24 L UEFA CL
28/07/18 L GICC
24/11/16 D UEFA CL
14/09/16 D UEFA CL
28/07/07 L ESC
Tips
Total goals
Slight lean toward over 2.5 goals, based on PSG’s recent output and the goal pattern in the latest meetings Correct score
2-1 fits the current data best, with the home side holding a small edge in what should still be a close game Related Predictions
Head-to-Head Records
2 Paris Saint-Germain FC Wins
2 Draws
3 Arsenal F.C. Wins
Last 7 meetings across all competitions
08/05/25 W UEFA CL
30/04/25 W UEFA CL
02/10/24 L UEFA CL
28/07/18 L GICC
24/11/16 D UEFA CL
14/09/16 D UEFA CL
28/07/07 L ESC
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
18/05/26 Paris FC 2-1 L
14/05/26 RC Lens 0-2 W
11/05/26 Stade Brestois 29 1-0 W
07/05/26 FC Bayern Munich 1-1 D
02/05/26 FC Lorient 2-2 D
29/04/26 FC Bayern Munich 5-4 W
26/04/26 Angers SCO 0-3 W
23/04/26 FC Nantes 3-0 W
20/04/26 Olympique Lyonnais 1-2 L
15/04/26 Liverpool F.C. 0-2 W
Arsenal F.C.
24/05/26 Crystal Palace F.C. 1-2 W
19/05/26 Burnley F.C. 1-0 W
10/05/26 West Ham United F.C. 0-1 W
06/05/26 Atletico Madrid 1-0 W
03/05/26 Fulham F.C. 3-0 W
30/04/26 Atletico Madrid 1-1 D
26/04/26 Newcastle United F.C. 1-0 W
19/04/26 Manchester City F.C. 2-1 L
16/04/26 Sporting CP 0-0 D
11/04/26 AFC Bournemouth 1-2 L
Current Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Snapshot | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Asian Handicap | 0.83 | 0.25 | 1.05 |
Historical Odds Movement
| Date | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Opening | 2.26 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 1X2 Current | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| AH Opening | 0.88 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| AH Current | 0.83 | 0.25 | 1.05 |