Main tip: Danubio to win
With the slightly better season record and current 1X2 prices still favoring Danubio, the safer angle is a narrow home win rather than expecting a comfortable result. Uruguay Primera Division
Danubio F.C. vs C.A. Progreso
Prediction
A conservative reading of the available data gives Danubio F.C. a slight edge, based on the better full-season record and home-favoring market prices. However, both teams have unstable recent form and the head-to-head trend shows many draws, so the home side looks more likely to edge it than win comfortably. Predicted score: 1-0.
AI Prediction
Home 46%
Draw 31%
Away 23%
home
Predicted Score
Danubio F.C. 1-0 C.A. Progreso
Match Analysis
Danubio’s season record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses is slightly better than Progreso’s 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses. Although Danubio have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, they did beat Nacional in that spell, while Progreso come into this game on a five-match losing run and have only one win in their last 10. The last 10 head-to-head meetings include 5 draws, and the most recent clash ended 2-2, so this still looks like a matchup that could stay tight and low-scoring. Confirmed lineups and verified injury data are not available, so the judgment should stay anchored to results and market direction only.
Team Stats
| Danubio F.C. | Stat | C.A. Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Danubio F.C. | Home team | C.A. Progreso |
| Uruguay Primera Division | Competition | Uruguay Primera Division |
| 中B7 | Ranking | 中B8 |
| 6W-6D-8L | Season record | 4W-5D-11L |
| -0.50 | Handicap | -0.50 |
Head-to-Head Records
01/03/26 D URU D1
24/08/25 L URU D1
01/06/25 W URU D1
23/02/25 D URU D1
12/10/24 D URU D1
07/04/24 D URU D1
01/09/22 D URU Cup
16/02/21 L URU D1
22/08/20 L URU D1
20/10/19 L URU D1
Tips
Total goals: lean under
Many head-to-head meetings have been close and draw-heavy, and with neither attack showing consistent form, this game points toward a tighter and lower-scoring outcome. Correct score pick
Danubio F.C. 1-0 C.A. Progreso Related Predictions
Head-to-Head Records
1 Danubio F.C. Wins
5 Draws
4 C.A. Progreso Wins
Last 10 meetings across all competitions
01/03/26 D URU D1
24/08/25 L URU D1
01/06/25 W URU D1
23/02/25 D URU D1
12/10/24 D URU D1
07/04/24 D URU D1
01/09/22 D URU Cup
16/02/21 L URU D1
22/08/20 L URU D1
20/10/19 L URU D1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Danubio F.C.
19/05/26 Deportivo Maldonado 3-1 L
10/05/26 Albion FC 0-1 L
03/05/26 Liverpool Montevideo 3-0 L
26/04/26 Club Nacional de Football 1-2 W
20/04/26 Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 D
12/04/26 Central Espanol 2-2 D
05/04/26 Montevideo City Torque 1-1 D
31/03/26 Cerro Largo F.C. 2-0 L
27/03/26 Defensor Sporting 0-0 D
22/03/26 Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 L
C.A. Progreso
23/05/26 Montevideo City Torque 1-2 L
17/05/26 CA Juventud de Las Piedras 2-0 L
11/05/26 Montevideo City Torque 2-1 L
03/05/26 Cerro Largo F.C. 0-1 L
28/04/26 Defensor Sporting 1-0 L
18/04/26 Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 W
13/04/26 CA Juventud de Las Piedras 1-0 L
05/04/26 CA Penarol 0-2 L
31/03/26 Liverpool Montevideo 3-3 D
26/03/26 Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 D
Current Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Snapshot | 1.89 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| Asian Handicap | 0.81 | 0.50 | 0.89 |
Historical Odds Movement
| Date | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Opening | 1.95 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| 1X2 Current | 1.89 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| AH Opening | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.95 |
| AH Current | 0.81 | 0.50 | 0.89 |
Next 3 Fixtures
Danubio F.C.
Jun 6 Montevideo Wanderers URU D1
C.A. Progreso
Jun 7 Albion FC URU D1