Blunt Nacional May Lead to Low-Scoring Clash Against CA Progreso

Montevideo Nacional's goalkeeper Alexis Martin, who joined mid-season, was sent off in the last league match and is suspended for this game. Mejia is expected to start in goal instead. First-choice centre-back Francisco Calvo also went off injured late in that match and could miss out, with Tomas Vera likely to step in, leaving several changes at the back and some concern over defensive stability. New signing forward Diego Colia made his debut off the bench in that game and is still adapting to the team.

CA Progreso will be without starting left-back Aydon Coco, who was sent off in their last league outing, while defender Sebastian Cardoso is also suspended after being dismissed from the sidelines. Facundo Guedes is set to cover. Newly signed winger Ocampo made his first start in that match and scored the winner, arriving in good form and likely to be central to their hopes here.

Montevideo Nacional lost 2-1 to Montevideo Wanderers in their last league game and their recent league form has been no better than ordinary. They have drawn one and lost one in their last two league matches, scoring only once in that span, which underlines their limited attacking threat. Even with home advantage, they may have to approach this one cautiously.

CA Progreso beat Maldonado 1-0 in their previous league match to halt their dip in form. However, their away scoring record remains fairly modest, so they are likely to prioritise defending and look to steal points. A low-scoring game looks the better angle.

In the last five league meetings between the sides, Montevideo Nacional have won all five. Their most recent victory over CA Progreso was by a 1-0 scoreline, and the last meeting produced seven corners.