Main pick
Back PSG to win with moderate risk, with 2-1 as the projected score Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain hold a narrow edge over Arsenal
Back to Predictions Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal F.C.
AI Prediction
Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 28%
home
Predicted Score
Paris Saint-Germain FC 2-1 Arsenal F.C.
Match Analysis
PSG hold a season record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses from 20 matches, compared with Arsenal’s 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses from 20, so the overall level is very close. Across the last 10 matches, PSG are 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while Arsenal are also 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. In the most relevant head-to-head sample, PSG beat Arsenal 1-0 and 2-1 in the last two UEFA Champions League meetings, which gives the home side only a small edge. The current 1X2 prices also point to a tight match, with PSG rated only slightly stronger. As confirmed lineups and fully verified team-news data are not available here, the view should remain conservative.
Team Stats
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Stat | Arsenal F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Home team | Arsenal F.C. |
| UEFA Champions League | Competition | UEFA Champions League |
| - | Ranking | - |
| 14W-3D-3L | Season record | 13W-3D-4L |
| -0.25 | Handicap | -0.25 |
Head-to-Head Records
08/05/25 W UEFA CL
30/04/25 W UEFA CL
02/10/24 L UEFA CL
28/07/18 L GICC
24/11/16 D UEFA CL
14/09/16 D UEFA CL
28/07/07 L ESC
Tips
Total goals
Slight lean toward over 2.5 goals, based on PSG’s recent output and the goal pattern in the latest meetings Correct score
2-1 fits the current data best, with the home side holding a small edge in what should still be a close game Related Predictions
Head-to-Head Records
2 Paris Saint-Germain FC Wins
2 Draws
3 Arsenal F.C. Wins
Last 7 meetings across all competitions
08/05/25 W UEFA CL
30/04/25 W UEFA CL
02/10/24 L UEFA CL
28/07/18 L GICC
24/11/16 D UEFA CL
14/09/16 D UEFA CL
28/07/07 L ESC
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
18/05/26 Paris FC 2-1 L
14/05/26 RC Lens 0-2 W
11/05/26 Stade Brestois 29 1-0 W
07/05/26 FC Bayern Munich 1-1 D
02/05/26 FC Lorient 2-2 D
29/04/26 FC Bayern Munich 5-4 W
26/04/26 Angers SCO 0-3 W
23/04/26 FC Nantes 3-0 W
20/04/26 Olympique Lyonnais 1-2 L
15/04/26 Liverpool F.C. 0-2 W
Arsenal F.C.
24/05/26 Crystal Palace F.C. 1-2 W
19/05/26 Burnley F.C. 1-0 W
10/05/26 West Ham United F.C. 0-1 W
06/05/26 Atletico Madrid 1-0 W
03/05/26 Fulham F.C. 3-0 W
30/04/26 Atletico Madrid 1-1 D
26/04/26 Newcastle United F.C. 1-0 W
19/04/26 Manchester City F.C. 2-1 L
16/04/26 Sporting CP 0-0 D
11/04/26 AFC Bournemouth 1-2 L
Current Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Snapshot | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Asian Handicap | 0.83 | 0.25 | 1.05 |
Historical Odds Movement
| Date | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Opening | 2.26 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 1X2 Current | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| AH Opening | 0.88 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| AH Current | 0.83 | 0.25 | 1.05 |