Main Tip
Back Sagan Tosu to win with moderate risk. Expected score: 1-0. Match Prediction: Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare
Back to Predictions Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare
AI Prediction
Home 42%
Draw 31%
Away 27%
home
Predicted Score
Sagan Tosu 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Match Analysis
Based on the available data, Sagan Tosu look steadier over the last 10 matches with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. Their season record is 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. Shonan Bellmare, by contrast, have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10, with a season record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. That gives the home side a slight overall edge.
The head-to-head record across recent years is mixed and not strongly decisive. In the last 10 meetings, Sagan Tosu have 2 wins, 4 draws, and Shonan Bellmare have 4 wins. So this fixture can be competitive, but the away side's current form is not convincing enough to support strongly.
The current 1X2 prices make Sagan Tosu slight favorites, with no major movement from the opening numbers. That fits a view of only a narrow home advantage. Confirmed lineups and verified injury information are not included in the data set, so the prediction should remain conservative.
Team Stats
| Sagan Tosu | Stat | Shonan Bellmare |
|---|---|---|
| Sagan Tosu | Home team | Shonan Bellmare |
| J2 League | Competition | J2 League |
| - | Ranking | - |
| 8W-6D-6L | Season record | 8W-5D-7L |
| - | Handicap | - |
Head-to-Head Records
31/08/24 L JPN D1
06/05/24 L JPN D1
24/06/23 W JPN D1
18/02/23 L JPN D1
29/10/22 L JPN D1
26/02/22 D JPN D1
16/10/21 D JPN D1
27/02/21 W JPN D1
25/10/20 D JPN D1
21/10/20 D JPN D1
Tips
Correct Score
A tight and competitive game looks likely, with the home side edging it 1-0. Risk Note
The head-to-head record is fairly balanced, and player data is limited, so this is not a spot for an overly aggressive view. Related Predictions
Head-to-Head Records
2 Sagan Tosu Wins
4 Draws
4 Shonan Bellmare Wins
Last 10 meetings across all competitions
31/08/24 L JPN D1
06/05/24 L JPN D1
24/06/23 W JPN D1
18/02/23 L JPN D1
29/10/22 L JPN D1
26/02/22 D JPN D1
16/10/21 D JPN D1
27/02/21 W JPN D1
25/10/20 D JPN D1
21/10/20 D JPN D1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sagan Tosu
30/05/26 Tokushima Vortis 3-1 L
23/05/26 FC Ryukyu 2-2 D
16/05/26 Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 D
10/05/26 Oita Trinita 0-1 W
06/05/26 Gainare Tottori 4-0 W
02/05/26 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 D
29/04/26 Kagoshima United 1-1 D
25/04/26 Reilac Shiga 2-0 W
19/04/26 Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 W
12/04/26 Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 W
Shonan Bellmare
30/05/26 Iwaki FC 1-1 D
24/05/26 Montedio Yamagata 3-1 L
16/05/26 Vegalta Sendai 0-2 L
10/05/26 Yokohama FC 0-1 L
06/05/26 Vanraure Hachinohe FC 0-1 W
02/05/26 Tochigi City 1-2 L
29/04/26 Tochigi SC 1-1 D
25/04/26 SC Sagamihara 1-1 D
18/04/26 Thespa Gunma 1-2 L
12/04/26 Blaublitz Akita 0-1 W
Current Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Snapshot | 2.14 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| Asian Handicap | 0.94 | 0.25 | 0.88 |
Historical Odds Movement
| Date | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Opening | 2.14 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| 1X2 Current | 2.14 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| AH Opening | 0.94 | 0.25 | 0.88 |
| AH Current | 0.94 | 0.25 | 0.88 |