Croatia’s overall record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses is stronger than Ghana’s 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses. In recent form, Croatia have won 6 of their last 10 matches, while Ghana have won only 2 of their last 10. In the latest World Cup games, Croatia beat Panama 1-0 after losing 2-4 to England, while Ghana drew 0-0 with England and beat Panama 1-0. That suggests Ghana can stay competitive, but their overall consistency still looks slightly weaker. Head-to-head data is limited because there are no listed meetings to use here, so a conservative assessment is appropriate.
The current 1X2 prices of Croatia 1.74, draw 3.25, and Ghana 5.80 indicate that the market makes Croatia a fairly clear favorite. The listed handicap of Croatia -0.75 supports the same view that the European side should control more of the game. Even so, both teams come into this after low-scoring World Cup matches, and confirmed lineup data is not available, so the safer angle is a cautious Croatia lean with a lower-scoring expectation.