Main Tip
Back CA Penarol to win with a low-risk approach; projected score 0-1 Uruguay Primera Division
Club Atletico Cerro vs CA Penarol
Prediction
A conservative view gives CA Penarol a slight-to-moderate edge based on the stronger season record, a clearly favorable head-to-head trend, and 1X2 market support for the away side. However, Penarol’s recent results have been a bit uneven, so the lean is toward a tight, lower-scoring match with the away team winning 0-1.
AI Prediction
Home 17%
Draw 24%
Away 59%
away
Predicted Score
Club Atletico Cerro 0-1 CA Penarol
Match Analysis
Based on the available data, Club Atletico Cerro have a season record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while CA Penarol stand at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which is clearly more stable. In head-to-head meetings, Penarol hold a strong edge with 7 wins from the last 10 and only 1 defeat, including a 3-1 win in the latest meeting in March 2026. The home side’s recent form remains inconsistent; although there have been a couple of wins, they have also lost several matches and conceded heavily in some of them. The away side have lost their last two matches in all competitions, but before that they still posted enough wins and draws to keep their overall level respectable. The latest 1X2 market prices of away 1.51 versus home 5.30 also indicate stronger support for the visitors. That said, confirmed lineups and injury data are unavailable, so the assessment should stay cautious and not expect an overly high score.
Team Stats
| Club Atletico Cerro | Stat | CA Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Cerro | Home team | CA Penarol |
| Uruguay Primera Division | Competition | Uruguay Primera Division |
| - | Ranking | - |
| 3W-5D-12L | Season record | 7W-6D-7L |
| 1.00 | Handicap | 1.00 |
Head-to-Head Records
22/03/26 L URU D1
26/10/25 W URU D1
29/06/25 L URU D1
28/04/25 L URU D1
23/09/24 L URU D1
10/03/24 L URU D1
20/08/23 D URU D1
05/02/23 L URU D1
17/01/21 D URU D1
16/02/20 L URU D1
Tips
Total Goals
Lean under, as the main view is a tight match and the away side’s latest results do not strongly suggest an open game Correct Score
0-1 is the most consistent option with the head-to-head trend and the overall market view Risk Note
Confirmed lineups and injury data are limited, and Penarol have lost their last two matches, so this should be treated as a cautious view Related Predictions
Head-to-Head Records
1 Club Atletico Cerro Wins
2 Draws
7 CA Penarol Wins
Last 10 meetings across all competitions
22/03/26 L URU D1
26/10/25 W URU D1
29/06/25 L URU D1
28/04/25 L URU D1
23/09/24 L URU D1
10/03/24 L URU D1
20/08/23 D URU D1
05/02/23 L URU D1
17/01/21 D URU D1
16/02/20 L URU D1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Atletico Cerro
30/05/26 Cerro Largo F.C. 2-0 L
24/05/26 Central Espanol 1-0 W
16/05/26 Boston River 4-1 L
11/05/26 Club Nacional de Football 4-0 L
03/05/26 Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 L
26/04/26 Central Espanol 3-1 L
19/04/26 Montevideo City Torque 1-1 D
11/04/26 Cerro Largo F.C. 1-1 D
06/04/26 Defensor Sporting 1-0 W
29/03/26 Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 L
CA Penarol
02/06/26 Central Espanol 0-1 L
28/05/26 Independiente Santa Fe 0-1 L
25/05/26 Defensor Sporting 0-2 W
22/05/26 Sport Club Corinthians Paulista 1-1 D
17/05/26 Liverpool Montevideo 2-1 W
12/05/26 Cerro Largo F.C. 2-3 W
08/05/26 Club Atletico Platense 1-1 D
05/05/26 Defensor Sporting 1-1 D
01/05/26 Sport Club Corinthians Paulista 2-0 L
27/04/26 Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 L
Current Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Snapshot | 5.60 | 3.60 | 1.50 |
| Asian Handicap | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.07 |
Historical Odds Movement
| Date | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Opening | 5.40 | 3.85 | 1.48 |
| 1X2 Current | 5.60 | 3.60 | 1.50 |
| AH Opening | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| AH Current | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.07 |