Main tip
Back Montevideo Wanderers to win cautiously, with a projected 1-0 result Uruguay Primera Division
Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio F.C.
Prediction
Montevideo Wanderers hold a slight edge based on steadier recent form and a recent 2-1 head-to-head win over Danubio. However, the overall picture remains close, so this is a cautious home lean with a low-scoring 1-0 outcome.
AI Prediction
Home 42%
Draw 31%
Away 27%
home
Predicted Score
Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Danubio F.C.
Match Analysis
Based on the available data, Montevideo Wanderers have been slightly stronger over the last 10 matches, posting 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while Danubio have 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses and have lost 4 of their last 5. The most recent head-to-head in March 2026 also ended in a 2-1 Wanderers win, although the longer-term matchup record remains fairly balanced. Current pricing still gives the home side a small edge, so a conservative view leans toward the hosts. Still, with limited data on confirmed lineups and team condition, the risk of a tight match remains high.
Team Stats
| Montevideo Wanderers | Stat | Danubio F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Montevideo Wanderers | Home team | Danubio F.C. |
| Uruguay Primera Division | Competition | Uruguay Primera Division |
| 中級B4 | Ranking | 中級B8 |
| 7W-4D-9L | Season record | 6W-6D-8L |
| -0.25 | Handicap | -0.25 |
Head-to-Head Records
22/03/26 W URU D1
07/09/25 L URU D1
16/03/25 D URU D1
29/09/24 D URU D1
25/03/24 W URU D1
07/03/24 L CON CSA
30/11/23 W URU D1
04/06/23 D URU D1
29/04/23 W URU D1
10/09/22 L URU D1
Tips
Total goals
Lean under, based on the expectation of a tight game and the 1-0 scoreline Risk note
Confirmed lineup and team-condition data are limited, so confidence stays at a medium level Related Predictions
Head-to-Head Records
4 Montevideo Wanderers Wins
3 Draws
3 Danubio F.C. Wins
Last 10 meetings across all competitions
22/03/26 W URU D1
07/09/25 L URU D1
16/03/25 D URU D1
29/09/24 D URU D1
25/03/24 W URU D1
07/03/24 L CON CSA
30/11/23 W URU D1
04/06/23 D URU D1
29/04/23 W URU D1
10/09/22 L URU D1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montevideo Wanderers
01/06/26 CA Juventud de Las Piedras 2-5 W
25/05/26 Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 D
18/05/26 Albion FC 0-0 D
09/05/26 Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 W
02/05/26 CA Juventud de Las Piedras 2-1 L
27/04/26 CA Penarol 1-0 W
18/04/26 C.A. Progreso 2-1 L
13/04/26 Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 L
04/04/26 Boston River 4-1 L
29/03/26 Club Atletico Cerro 3-0 W
Danubio F.C.
31/05/26 C.A. Progreso 1-2 L
19/05/26 Deportivo Maldonado 3-1 L
10/05/26 Albion FC 0-1 L
03/05/26 Liverpool Montevideo 3-0 L
26/04/26 Club Nacional de Football 1-2 W
20/04/26 Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 D
12/04/26 Central Espanol 2-2 D
05/04/26 Montevideo City Torque 1-1 D
31/03/26 Cerro Largo F.C. 2-0 L
27/03/26 Defensor Sporting 0-0 D
Current Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Snapshot | 2.25 | 3.05 | 2.85 |
| Asian Handicap | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.02 |
Historical Odds Movement
| Date | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Opening | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.99 |
| 1X2 Current | 2.25 | 3.05 | 2.85 |
| AH Opening | 0.88 | 0.25 | 0.94 |
| AH Current | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.02 |