Score prediction
Spain to win 1-0 is the main conservative pick. Spain look more consistent and defensively steadier in the recent data, but Belgium have enough quality to keep the match close, so a narrow-margin result looks more reasonable than a wide scoreline. Spain vs Belgium
Prediction
Recent data points to Spain being slightly more stable, with an unbeaten last 10 and a strong run in this World Cup. Belgium also carry attacking threat, but they have drawn quite often. The conservative view is that Spain hold the edge without a large gap, with a tight game expected. Predicted score is 1-0. Data coverage is fairly strong, but confirmed lineups are unavailable, so the read should remain cautious.