USA vs Belgium

USA have won 6 of their last 10 matches, but they have also lost 3, including a 5-2 defeat to Belgium in March 2026. Belgium are unbeaten across their last 10 matches, with 5 wins and 5 draws, and their recent World Cup form has been steadier. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Belgium have 3 wins and 1 draw, which gives them a slight edge. Even so, the odds snapshot and overall results suggest a very balanced game. The match data is fairly complete on results, but confirmed lineup data is limited, so this remains a conservative assessment.

The probabilities are kept relatively close: USA 33%, draw 27%, and Belgium 40%. That reflects Belgium as the marginally stronger side rather than a clear favorite, mainly because of their unbeaten run and better head-to-head record. The scoreline that best fits the available data is a 2-1 Belgium win.