Main Tip
Back Vasco da Gama to win, but only by a narrow margin. Predicted score: 1-0. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro (MG)
Prediction
A conservative reading of the available data gives Vasco da Gama a slight edge. The draw remains a strong possibility, and the game leans toward a low score.
AI Prediction
Home 41%
Draw 31%
Away 28%
home
Predicted Score
Vasco da Gama 1-0 Atletico Mineiro (MG)
Match Analysis
Recent form is mixed for both sides, but Vasco da Gama hold a small edge through home advantage and some visible home wins in league play. Atletico Mineiro (MG) have a slightly better overall season record, yet their recent away league results have been inconsistent. The head-to-head data is also fairly balanced: Vasco won the latest home league meeting 2-0, while another home meeting ended 1-1. That suggests only a narrow lean toward the hosts. The latest 1X2 prices also make the home side favorite, but not by a wide margin, which fits the view that this is a close matchup. From a risk-aware perspective, the match may be decided by small details, and with limited player availability data, it is safer not to expect a high-scoring game.
Team Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Stat | Atletico Mineiro (MG) |
|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama | Home team | Atletico Mineiro (MG) |
| Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A | Competition | Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A |
| 16 | Ranking | 14 |
| 8W-6D-6L | Season record | 9W-2D-9L |
| -0.50 | Handicap | -0.50 |
Head-to-Head Records
08/12/25 L BRA D1
11/08/25 D BRA D1
05/12/24 W BRA D1
20/10/24 D BRA Cup
03/10/24 L BRA Cup
22/07/24 L BRA D1
20/08/23 W BRA D1
16/04/23 W BRA D1
24/01/21 W BRA D1
05/10/20 L BRA D1
Tips
Over/Under
Leaning toward a lower-scoring game. Based on the available data, under 2.5 is the conservative angle. Risk Note
The dataset is strong for form and pricing, but confirmed lineups are unavailable, so late uncertainty should be respected. Related Predictions
Head-to-Head Records
4 Vasco da Gama Wins
2 Draws
4 Atletico Mineiro (MG) Wins
Last 10 meetings across all competitions
08/12/25 L BRA D1
11/08/25 D BRA D1
05/12/24 W BRA D1
20/10/24 D BRA Cup
03/10/24 L BRA Cup
22/07/24 L BRA D1
20/08/23 W BRA D1
16/04/23 W BRA D1
24/01/21 W BRA D1
05/10/20 L BRA D1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasco da Gama
28/05/26 Barracas Central 3-0 W
25/05/26 Red Bull Bragantino 0-3 L
21/05/26 Olimpia Asuncion 3-1 L
17/05/26 SC Internacional 4-1 L
14/05/26 Paysandu (PA) 2-2 D
11/05/26 Atletico Paranaense 1-0 W
07/05/26 Audax Italiano 1-2 W
04/05/26 CR Flamengo (RJ) 2-2 D
01/05/26 Olimpia Asuncion 3-0 W
27/04/26 Sport Club Corinthians Paulista 1-0 L
Atletico Mineiro (MG)
28/05/26 Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 W
25/05/26 Sport Club Corinthians Paulista 1-0 L
22/05/26 Cienciano 2-0 W
17/05/26 Mirassol FC 3-1 W
14/05/26 Ceara Sporting Club 2-1 L
11/05/26 Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas 1-1 D
06/05/26 CA Juventud de Las Piedras 2-2 D
03/05/26 Cruzeiro (MG) 1-3 W
30/04/26 Cienciano 1-0 L
27/04/26 CR Flamengo (RJ) 0-4 L
Current Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Snapshot | 1.88 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
| Asian Handicap | 0.99 | 0.50 | 0.88 |
Historical Odds Movement
| Date | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Opening | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| 1X2 Current | 1.88 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
| AH Opening | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.08 |
| AH Current | 0.99 | 0.50 | 0.88 |
Next 3 Fixtures
Vasco da Gama
Jul 23 Independiente Medellin CON CSA
Jul 23 Esporte Clube Vitoria BRA D1
Jul 27 Mirassol FC BRA D1
Atletico Mineiro (MG)
Jul 23 Esporte Clube Bahia BRA D1
Jul 27 Palmeiras BRA D1
Jul 30 Red Bull Bragantino BRA D1